Confidential

Turkish Drones Circling Somalia as Election Violence Looms

While Somalia has agreed to de-escalate tensions with Kenya, President Mohamed Farmaajo, with the assistance of Turkey, will likely fortify FSG assets in the Gedo region with Turkish drones. This is likely to be in the pursuit of a position…

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Confidential

Somalia and the Fight Against Al-Shabaab

Somalia is facing a period of chaos and insecurity. Not only because of its current political situation mainly linked to the upcoming elections but also because of the humanitarian crisis affecting the country. Key Judgments KJ-1.    The UN arms embargo…

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Confidential

DANAB: Somalia’s Lightning Commandos

Danab Commandos are headquartered in the Baledogle US military base, approximately 100km from the Somalian capital of Mogadishu.   Key Judgement  Formed in 2014, the Danab ‘lightning’ Commandos is now regarded as Somalia’s most professional and capable fighting force. The…

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Confidential

The Safari Club

The Safari Club would have likely never existed had it not been for the ideas of Karl Marx. “Communists disdain to conceal their views and aims. They openly declare that their ends can be attained only by the forcible overthrow…

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Confidential

The Great Toyota War: Birthplace of the Technical

The Great Toyota War was the birthplace of the “technical” – light-weight Toyota Hilux and Land Cruiser variants that are used in underdeveloped countries for troop transport and combat. In 480 BC, the Battle of Thermopylae took place in Greece….

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Confidential

DP World: Emirati Expansionism in Africa?

Key Judgement The expansion of DP World supports UAE ambitions of controlling maritime commerce across a vast network. This links the Americas, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. Military expansion near the Gulf is to secure these interests, as…

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Confidential

Kenyan Backed Jubaland Forces Attempt to Invade Somali Town

This Grey Dynamics African intelligence article focuses on analysing the hostilities between the parties involved and the Jubaland Forces. Africa Researcher at Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), Mohamednoor Daudi Ismail, informed Grey Dynamics that at least 14…

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Confidential

Al-Shabaab In the Age Of COVID-19

Breakdown There is a significant risk that Al-Shabaab can regroup and re-surge amid the COVID-19 outbreak, as government forces and assets are redirected to tackle the pandemic. A withdrawal of foreign military aid in the form of AMISOM and AFRICOM…

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Confidential

Drones in Africa: Potential for Life and Death

Drone technology continues gaining ground in the African continent. An invigorated emphasis to boost cooperation between nations in Africa will enhance the capabilities and cyber-humanitarian reach that drones will bring. Among capabilities, the capacity for drone warfare in a continent…

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Confidential

Somali-Kenya relations cracked but not broken

The International Court of Justice (ICJ) has postponed a hearing first raised by Somalia in 2014, over a Somalia Kenya maritime dispute concerning an approximately 100,000 square kilometre area in the Indian Ocean until June 8, 2020. Both countries lay…

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