Confidential

Russian Arctic Policy: 12 Month Outlook

Summary Russian Arctic policies were released in 2020 until 2035. These policies defend the sovereignty of the Russian Arctic, the environment, and increase operational capabilities. The Northern Sea Route (NSR) along with natural resources in Russia’s Arctic provides 10% of…

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Confidential

Operation Ghost Stories: a Russian Spy Ring in the United States

On the 27th of June 2010, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) arrested ten illegal agents of the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR). This operation, the so-called Operation Ghost Stories dubbed the Illegals Program by the FBI, lasted for more…

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Confidential

Project Toledo: The Secret Russian Biological Weapons Program

While previous Grey Dynamics articles analysed Russian hybrid warfare via Wagner PMCs and GPS spoofing, a secret Russian biological weapons program provides a new ‘dynamic’. In 2017, the last of Russia’s chemical weapons were allegedly disposed. This article will explore…

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Confidential

Troll-on-Troll: Russian-French Cyber Information War in Africa

This Grey Dynamics African intelligence article analyses the misinformation war between Russian and French troll-on-troll actors. It is important to assess the differences in Russian and French information campaigns, but to note the similarity when engaging with one another.  Key…

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Confidential

Russian Paramilitary Presence in Venezuela?

Why Does This Matter? Russia has attracted attention for its increased involvement in Venezuela, particularly following the US sanctions in March 2020. The Russian-Venezuelan relationship was initially ‘purely administrative’. Since 2018, Russian Paramilitary Presence in Venezuela was reported, allegedly including…

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Confidential

Russian Military Bases in Egypt

The presence of Russian forces in Libya, as well as the alleged presence of PMC’s in CAR, have highly likely pushed the creation of a military base in Egypt. Key Judgements KJ-1. The frequency and intensity of Russian activity in…

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Confidential

Russian Intervention Central African Republic

This Grey Dynamics intelligence report will utilize OSINT in order to provide diagnostical and predictive analysis on Russian intervention in the CAR, with a focus on the geopolitical, military, and economic spheres.    Key Judgements KJ-1. It is highly likely…

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Confidential

Russian Military Base in Mozambique: Intent, Impact & Impediment

This Grey Dynamics African Intelligence report analyses the potential establishment of a Russian military base in Mozambique. The geopolitical, economic, and military benefits and impact of a Russian base will be explored. Key Judgments KJ-1. Based on the leak from…

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Confidential

Naval Expansionism: Russian Naval Base in Eritrea

Scenario Generation This report examines the geopolitical context in the Red Sea and the potential implications of a Russian naval base in Eritrea. Using both diagnostic and predictive analysis, the author assesses the current situation and delivers predictive judgements regarding…

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Confidential

The Great Game: Russian Influence in the Balkans

The “Great Game” of power competition is once again afoot in the Balkans, where the US, NATO and the EU vie with Russia for influence. There is a good reason for this, however: recent Russian operations to gain influence or…

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