Confidential

Why is Russia Building Military Bases in Sudan?

The German newspaper Bild has brought to light that Russia is building military bases in Sudan. This would be a significant increase from the military footprint that it already possess within the state. There were reports and video evidence in…

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Confidential

Space Programme: the UK, USA and Russia’s Cases

Space Programme: a perspective by Mark Sedwill, Cabinet Secretary and National Security Adviser for the United Kingdom. “If the UK and US can foster even deeper cooperation security forces can work together They can withstand the threats of today and…

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Confidential

Russia and North Korea Relations: A Future Analysis

Key Judgements KJ-1. It is likely the political aspect of Russia and North Korea (NK) relations is performative and unproductive. KJ-2. It is likely Russia and NK’s economic relations will remain stagnant over the next two years, unless there is…

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Ukaine vs Russia
Confidential

Ukraine vs Russia Escalation

Ukraine vs Russia conflict has been taking place since February 2014 due to the annexation of Crimea. Since that time, tensions between the two territories have continued to increase. At present, Russian-backed separatists occupy Crimea and the Donbas region of…

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Confidential

Troll-on-Troll: Russian-French Cyber Information War in Africa

This Grey Dynamics African intelligence article analyses the misinformation war between Russian and French troll-on-troll actors. It is important to assess the differences in Russian and French information campaigns, but to note the similarity when engaging with one another.  Key…

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Confidential

Wagner in CAR: Russia’s ‘Non-State State Actor’ Part VI

Wagner in CAR is an essential weapon in the hybrid warfare arsenal of the Kremlin. By utilizing Wagner and other private military companies (PMCs), the Russian state enforces its existing spheres of influence.With a focus not only on existing spheres…

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Confidential

Russian Military Bases in Egypt

The presence of Russian forces in Libya, as well as the alleged presence of PMC’s in CAR, have highly likely pushed the creation of a military base in Egypt. Key Judgements KJ-1. The frequency and intensity of Russian activity in…

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Confidential

Russian Intervention Central African Republic

This Grey Dynamics intelligence report will utilize OSINT in order to provide diagnostical and predictive analysis on Russian intervention in the CAR, with a focus on the geopolitical, military, and economic spheres.    Key Judgements KJ-1. It is highly likely…

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Confidential

Russian Military Base in Mozambique: Intent, Impact & Impediment

This Grey Dynamics African Intelligence report analyses the potential establishment of a Russian military base in Mozambique. The geopolitical, economic, and military benefits and impact of a Russian base will be explored. Key Judgments KJ-1. Based on the leak from…

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Confidential

Naval Expansionism: Russian Naval Base in Eritrea

Scenario Generation This report examines the geopolitical context in the Red Sea and the potential implications of a Russian naval base in Eritrea. Using both diagnostic and predictive analysis, the author assesses the current situation and delivers predictive judgements regarding…

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