Confidential

Russian Military Base in Mozambique: Intent, Impact & Impediment

This Grey Dynamics African Intelligence report analyses the potential establishment of a Russian military base in Mozambique. The geopolitical, economic, and military benefits and impact of a Russian base will be explored. Key Judgments KJ-1. Based on the leak from…

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Confidential

Mayhem in Mozambique: ISIS Resurgence

There were rumours of ISIS Central Africa (ISCAP) operating in the region and the group has claimed the attack in Mozambique, Mocimboa Da Praia and shows affiliation or opportunism. This is an intelligence and military failure by Mozambique and the…

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Confidential

Mozambique Insurgency Threat

This Grey Dynamics Africa Intelligence Report seeks to offer an assessment of the insurgency threat in Mozambique. For collection and processing OSINT sources have been used, the report is safe for further distribution. Key Judgements KJ-1. Government has likely exacerbated…

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Confidential

Mozambique: In the Eye of the Storm

In 2019, Mozambique was pummeled by two massive tropical cyclones. The storm has left the Mozambique decimated, with large-scale destruction to infrastructure and a catastrophic death toll. Mozambique’s low-lying 1,500-mile Indian Ocean coastline makes the country one of the world’s…

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Terror in Mozambique

  Since October 2017, in the Mozambican province of Cabo Delgado, more than 100 people have been killed in over 40 separate attacks. Cabo Delgado borders Tanzania and is rich in gas and minerals and vital for the future of…

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Confidential

Cuba and the Zanzibar Revolution: Revolutionary Vulnerabilities

Why is Cuba Relevant in Zanzibar? Between 1961 and 1964, Zanzibar underwent a series of political changes including the exit of British forces and a revolution. In April 1964,  Zanzibar and Tanganyika united to form Tanzania after a short revolution…

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Confidential

Somalia and the Fight Against Al-Shabaab

Somalia is facing a period of chaos and insecurity. Not only because of its current political situation mainly linked to the upcoming elections but also because of the humanitarian crisis affecting the country. Key Judgments KJ-1.    The UN arms embargo…

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Confidential

DP World: Emirati Expansionism in Africa?

Key Judgement The expansion of DP World supports UAE ambitions of controlling maritime commerce across a vast network. This links the Americas, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. Military expansion near the Gulf is to secure these interests, as…

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Confidential

Troll-on-Troll: Russian-French Cyber Information War in Africa

This Grey Dynamics African intelligence article analyses the misinformation war between Russian and French troll-on-troll actors. It is important to assess the differences in Russian and French information campaigns, but to note the similarity when engaging with one another.  Key…

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Confidential

The Montoneros: Hybrid Political-Guerrilla Terrorist Organisation

The Montoneros was a hybrid political-terrorist organisation that operated in the 1970s and 1980s in Argentina. With ideology as a driver, hierarchical structure with overt and covert capabilities suffered from a logistical change to a clandestine nature. Why does this…

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