The Tension in Gabon
January 7, 2020
Download Grey Dynamics’ The Tension in Gabon: The Tension in Gabon Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Grey Dynamics LTD.
A Deadman’s Switch: Non-state actors and what lies ahead for Cameroon
This article attempts to use a ‘Deadman's switch’ model to describe the eventuality of what may become of the Cameroon Anglophone Civil Society Consortium (CACSC). A Deadman's switch is designed to be activated or deactivated if the operator becomes incapacitated or relieved of control. At the point where the operator of CACSC is relieved of control for any reason, Cameroon may see the birth of a full-blown long-lasting violent conflict. Reconstructed Scenario is based on the following…
Is Africa the next frontier for ISIS?
December 23, 2019
In recent months the African continent has witnessed the strengthening of the Jihadi Salafist movement. Multiple attacks have been conducted by the Islamic State and its affiliates across several regions. The Salafi-jihadi movement currently has four main centers of activity in Africa: Libya, Mali, the Horn of Africa, and the Lake Chad Basin. These epicenters are connected while exchanging recruits and providing funding and expertise. However, the Sahel remains the most endangered region, given the Islamic State in…
Piracy in the Gulf of Guinea
August 13, 2019
The Gulf of Guinea led the world in piracy in 2018. The International Maritime Bureau (IMB) recorded 201 incidents in 2018, up from 180 in 2017. The gulf accounted for, 6 hijackings 13 of the 18 ships took fire 130 of the 141 hostages 78 of 83 seafarers taken for ransom worldwide The statistics above are the ones reported, but the IMB believes half of attacks go unreported. Piracy should be a concern for corporations that…
The Threat of Hezbollah in Latin America: Smoking gun or False Red Flag?
August 8, 2019
While an Iranian and U.S. standoff heats up, a lower intensity effort against the Iranian proxy group Hezbollah in Latin America is underway. This month, Argentina became the first country in the region to designate Hezbollah as a "terrorist" organization and froze the known Hezbollah assets in the country. The decision coincided with the 25th anniversary of a Jewish community centre bombing in Buenos Aires that killed 85 people. Argentina also blames Hezbollah for a 1992 attack on the…
The Paraguayan People’s Army: Latin America’s Enduring Insurgency
August 7, 2019
The Paraguayan People’s Army (EPP) is one of the first violent organizations to appear after the Cold War in Latin America and one of the last ideologically-based, non-state armed groups in the region. In a continent suffering from widespread drug-trafficking and cartels, this group is something of a unique phenomenon. The emergence of the EPP has been relatively recent and, although a small group, it has been a thorn in the side to the Paraguayan government and…