Confidential
Confidential
Intelligence Failure
Confidential
Confidential

Why Counterterrorism Won’t Stabilize the Sahel

The vast area of the Sahel is increasingly believed to be the next battlefield in counterterrorism against several terrorist groups operating there, such as Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), Boko Haram, Jama’at Nasr al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM), Ansaru-Islam,…

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Confidential

Burkina Faso: Falling into a swamp of blood

One of the poorest countries in the world, Burkina Faso is battling an escalating wave of attacks over the last three years. This began in the north, near the border with Mali, and has spread rapidly to the eastern regions….

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Confidential

Tunisian Counter-Terrorism

Tunisia is considered one of the success stories of the Arab Spring in that democracy was established. However, the Tunisian regime is heading down a dangerous path in curtailing liberties acquired in the revolution to boost counter-terrorism threat. A path…

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Facing an Epidemic in a Civil War

    The second largest Ebola outbreak in history has now surpassed 500 reported deaths in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). This outbreak, first declared in August 2018, now only falls behind the outbreak in western Africa between…

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Terror in Mozambique

  Since October 2017, in the Mozambican province of Cabo Delgado, more than 100 people have been killed in over 40 separate attacks. Cabo Delgado borders Tanzania and is rich in gas and minerals and vital for the future of…

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Confidential

Counterintelligence Activities of Non-State Actors

A diverse range of organisations carries out intelligence-related activities to gain a competitive advantage, including non-state actors (NSAs), a prevalent threat in the contemporary conflict environment and intelligence landscape. Counterintelligence (CI) is an imperative ancillary discipline to intelligence and vital…

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Confidential

Al Shabab Changing Tactics?

Key Judgements I. We judge it as almost certain that two females were attacked in Mogadishu with a chemical powder. This likely Al Shabab changing tactics II. We judge that the attackers were probably from the Al Shabab terrorist group…

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Confidential

How Non-State Actors are Making a Difference on the Battlefield of Tomorrow (Part 1)

Intro In this article, I have analysed the role of non-state actors in recent conflicts and particularly in Somalia. To improve readability this article has been divided into 3 parts. The first part briefly examines the background on the recent use…

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