Confidential

ISIS Threatens South Africa: A New Front?

Previous Grey Dynamics articles explored the intensifying insurgency in Mozambique and the Tanzanian link, analysing a potential ‘hijacking’ of a local conflict by ISIS, indicating the terror groups broader strategy in Africa. On July 3rd, the groups publication platform (Al-Naba), for the…

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Confidential

What is Eco-terrorism and how did it start?

Eco-terrorism is an ideological framework that incorporates direct action and terrorist attacks with environmental causes.   Terrorism stems from solid ideological beliefs, and an actor or group willing to commit horrible atrocities to further them. Strangely enough, the dark tendrils of…

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Pensacola attack
Confidential

The Pensacola Attack: Al Qaeda in the US

The Pensacola attack took place in an American military base in Pensacola, Florida, which took place in December 2019. Three US sailors were killed and eight injured.  The Saudi student opened fire inside a classroom at the Naval Air Station. The attack…

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Abu Sayyaf
Confidential

Abu Sayyaf in the Philippines: The Bearer of the Sword

Abu Sayyaf, also known as the Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG) or Al Harakat Al Islamiyya, is an Islamic terrorist organisation, primarily operating in the Philippines. With their name literally translating to ‘Bearer of the Sword,’ Abu Sayyaf is an organisation…

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Confidential

Radiological Dispersal Devices and Hospital Waste: A Dirty Conundrum

Radiological Dispersal Devices detonated in an urban centre could result in psychological terror. In the world of intelligence, we like to think we are ready for anything. Contingency plans, schemes of manoeuvre, tactics, techniques and procedures… all plans of action…

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Confidential

Somalia and the Fight Against Al-Shabaab

Somalia is facing a period of chaos and insecurity. Not only because of its current political situation mainly linked to the upcoming elections but also because of the humanitarian crisis affecting the country. Key Judgments KJ-1.    The UN arms embargo…

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Confidential

JNIM & ISGS in West Africa

Key Judgements  KJ-1. JNIM and ISGS mainly operate in the tri-border area of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger. The groups comprise the leader militant Islamist groups in the Sahel adding to the sharp increase in violence in West Africa in…

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Confidential

The Connection Between Islamic State & ADF

Background Islamic State & ADF Unlike the Islamic State and its sub-branches, the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) maintain a relatively low profile in the public eye. This aspect of the group’s nature brings more speculation than certainty regarding their contemporary…

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Confidential

Human Trafficking Supply-chains

Human Trafficking is still a big threat. The coronavirus has not been a significant deterrent for Human trafficking supply-chains. Conflicts, terrorism and lack of opportunities present a vacuum for criminal organisations to exploit, while law-enforcement counter-measures remain fragile. Why Does…

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Confidential

The Montoneros: Hybrid Political-Guerrilla Terrorist Organisation

The Montoneros was a hybrid political-terrorist organisation that operated in the 1970s and 1980s in Argentina. With ideology as a driver, hierarchical structure with overt and covert capabilities suffered from a logistical change to a clandestine nature. Why does this…

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