Confidential
Confidential
Intelligence Failure
Confidential
Confidential

Radiological Dispersal Devices and Hospital Waste: A Dirty Conundrum

Radiological Dispersal Devices detonated in an urban centre could result in psychological terror. In the world of intelligence, we like to think we are ready for anything. Contingency plans, schemes of manoeuvre, tactics, techniques and procedures… all plans of action…

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Confidential

Somalia and the Fight Against Al-Shabaab

Somalia is facing a period of chaos and insecurity. Not only because of its current political situation mainly linked to the upcoming elections but also because of the humanitarian crisis affecting the country. Key Judgments KJ-1.    The UN arms embargo…

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Confidential

JNIM & ISGS in West Africa

Key Judgements  KJ-1. JNIM and ISGS mainly operate in the tri-border area of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger. The groups comprise the leader militant Islamist groups in the Sahel adding to the sharp increase in violence in West Africa in…

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Confidential

The Connection Between Islamic State & ADF

Background Islamic State & ADF Unlike the Islamic State and its sub-branches, the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) maintain a relatively low profile in the public eye. This aspect of the group’s nature brings more speculation than certainty regarding their contemporary…

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Confidential

Human Trafficking Supply-chains

Human Trafficking is still a big threat. The coronavirus has not been a significant deterrent for Human trafficking supply-chains. Conflicts, terrorism and lack of opportunities present a vacuum for criminal organisations to exploit, while law-enforcement counter-measures remain fragile. Why Does…

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Confidential

The Montoneros: Hybrid Political-Guerrilla Terrorist Organisation

The Montoneros was a hybrid political-terrorist organisation that operated in the 1970s and 1980s in Argentina. With ideology as a driver, hierarchical structure with overt and covert capabilities suffered from a logistical change to a clandestine nature. Why does this…

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Confidential

Vegan Extremism: A Threat

Vegan extremism is a real threat. No, that is not a joke. A bit comical perhaps, as it would be to say the threat of “ketogenic extremism”, “paleo extremism”, or even “whole-30 extremism”, but shades of truth remain. When “extremism”…

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Confidential

Sara Khitta: Taliban Special Forces

This Grey Dynamics article gives an overview of the Taliban’s Sara Khitta unit – a self-proclaimed “special forces unit” that has demonstrated unique tactics and more advanced weaponry on the Afghanistan battlefield than their rank-in-file counterparts. Key Judgements KJ-1. It…

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Confidential

ETA: Spanish Separate Terrorism links with Venezuela

The association of Nicolas Maduro and the Venezuelan government to drug trafficking and terrorism sponsorship is not new. Spanish terrorist organisation ETA enjoyed links between South American and European criminal and armed actors with the cooperation of the Venezuelan government….

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Confidential

Barrack Busters: How the IRA influenced terrorists around the world

The Provisional IRA’s 29-year campaign, from 1969 until the Good Friday Agreements in 1998, saw the evolution of several tactics and technologies. It was developing world-leading knowledge in the use of Barrack Busters in urban environments as well as the…

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