Confidential

JNIM & ISGS in West Africa

Key Judgements  KJ-1. JNIM and ISGS mainly operate in the tri-border area of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger. The groups comprise the leader militant Islamist groups in the Sahel adding to the sharp increase in violence in West Africa in…

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Confidential

The Connection Between Islamic State & ADF

Key Judgements KJ-1. There is a realistic probability that the ADF maintains some sort of financial connection to ISCAP, although not enough to classify them as a sub-branch of the latter. KJ-2. It is highly likely the ADF and ISCAP…

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Confidential

Human Trafficking Supply-chains

Human Trafficking is still a big threat. The coronavirus has not been a significant deterrent for Human trafficking supply-chains. Conflicts, terrorism and lack of opportunities present a vacuum for criminal organisations to exploit, while law-enforcement counter-measures remain fragile. Why Does…

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Confidential

The Montoneros: Hybrid Political-Guerrilla Terrorist Organisation

The Montoneros was a hybrid political-terrorist organisation that operated in the 1970s and 1980s in Argentina. With ideology as a driver, hierarchical structure with overt and covert capabilities suffered from a logistical change to a clandestine nature. Why does this…

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Vegan Extremism: A Threat

Vegan extremism is a real threat. No, that is not a joke. A bit comical perhaps, as it would be to say the threat of “ketogenic extremism”, “paleo extremism”, or even “whole-30 extremism”, but shades of truth remain. When “extremism”…

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Boko Haram and ISWAP in the Lake Chad Triangle

  Key Judgements KJ-1. The MNJTF is the key actor to defend the region from any Boko Haram terrorist action KJ-2. States of the region are closely collaborating with the MNTJF to defeat the group by exchanging intelligence and cooperating in…

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Sara Khitta: Taliban Special Forces

This Grey Dynamics article gives an overview of the Taliban’s Sara Khitta unit – a self-proclaimed “special forces unit” that has demonstrated unique tactics and more advanced weaponry on the Afghanistan battlefield than their rank-in-file counterparts. Key Judgements KJ-1. It…

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ETA: Spanish Separate Terrorism links with Venezuela

The association of Nicolas Maduro and the Venezuelan government to drug trafficking and terrorism sponsorship is not new. Spanish terrorist organisation ETA enjoyed links between South American and European criminal and armed actors with the cooperation of the Venezuelan government….

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Barrack Busters: How the IRA influenced terrorists around the world

  The Provisional IRA’s 29-year campaign, from 1969 until the Good Friday Agreements in 1998, saw the evolution of several tactics and technologies. It was developing world-leading knowledge in the use of Mortars in urban environments as well as the…

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Confidential

Terrorism Outlook: United States

Key Judgements KJ-1. Based on the current statistical trends, it is likely that future terrorist attacks in the US will primarily utilize explosives, firearms, and incendiary devices. KJ-2. It is highly likely that US and international terrorist groups who target…

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