Confidential

Mozambique Crisis: 6 Month Outlook

Summary Mozambique is shattered by the ongoing economic, humanitarian, political, and security crisis. Since 2017, Mozambique, especially the northern area of Cabo Delgado, is under the siege of Al-Shabaab (Mozambique) and the Islamic State in Central Africa Province (ISCAP) insurgents….

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Confidential

Will Google Analytics Get Banned in Europe?

Summary In January 2022, the Austrian Data Protection Authority ruled that the use of Google Analytics violates EU privacy law. The complaint was brought by a non-profit organization called Noyb. The organization issued 101 complaints in almost all EU countries….

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Patriot Front
Confidential

Patriot Front Threat Assessment 2022

Background The Patriot Front threat is a new strain of white nationalism in the United States. Recent public demonstrations from the group have rekindled a national conversation about the strength of white nationalist groups in a post-Trump America. Contrary to…

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Confidential

China and Russia Relations: A New Era?

Summary President Putin and Xi have recently declared their intention to deepen ties in the face of what they perceive as increasing Western hostility through NATO expansion. Despite alarmist claims of a likely new military alliance between the two powers,…

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Meta Logo phone
Confidential

Will Meta pull Facebook and Instagram from Europe?

Summary Meta has once again threatened to pull Facebook and Instagram from Europe. This will happen if Meta will be unable to keep transferring user data back to the US. The circumstances under which Meta could continue to transfer data…

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Antifa
Confidential

Antifa Threat Assessment

Summary The Antifa threat rose to its height of national exposure during the presidency of Donald J. Trump and recent civil unrest in the United States. There is no shortage of partisan media coverage portraying the group as a serious…

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Taliban Information Campaigns
Confidential

Taliban Disinformation Campaigns?

Summary Now Taliban have achieved their objective of reconquering Afghanistan, they will use their refined information warfare strategies in an effort to maintain their power. Therefore, it is almost certain that the Taliban will continue to use disinformation campaigns to…

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Confidential

Russian Influence in Burkina Faso: Mining and Meddling

Summary The recent military coup in Burkina Faso was the result of the elected government’s inability to suppress insurgent violence. Due to Russia’s strategy to bolster its military, economic and political influence in Africa, it is almost certain that they…

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Confidential

What IAEAs Cameras Cannot tell us about the Iranian nuclear deal

Negotiators engaged in indirect discussions between Iran and the United States to save the Iranian nuclear deal. They have only a few weeks left to try to reach an agreement and avoid a military escalation. However, the actors at the…

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VEGA Strategic Services
Confidential

VEGA Strategic Services and Venezuela

Summary VEGA Strategic Services (also Vegacy) is a rather shadowy organization hailing from Ukraine and supporting the Maduro regime in Venezuela. In 2011, the group was founded in Ukraine by members of elite special forces unites from Ukraine and Russia….

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