Confidential

Moroccan Influence: Expansion and Regional Presence

Confidential

BOEL: Spanish Legion’s Elite

Confidential

Operation Anthropoid: A Semi-Improvised Assassination

Confidential

Fake News: Misinformation vs. Disinformation

Cuba Protests
Confidential

Protests in Cuba: Narratives, Technology and short-term change

Main take-aways The protests in Cuba are surfacing the inaccurate narratives which surround the domestic and international status of the island. There are binary conclusions that identify one single responsible figure behind the humanitarian and security crisis. The main certainty…

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Confidential

Elections in Peru: Importance of Legitimacy, Corruption & Polarisation

Key Assessments of the Peruvian Elections It is unlikely that elected officials reduce social, economic, health and security issues in Peru in the short-term. Polarisation and reactive campaigning and an increase in public polarisation, make it difficult for effective policy…

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Confidential

Angolan Civil War and the Intelligence POV

Angolan Civil War: Background The Angolan Civil War began in 1975 and continued until 2002. Immediately after becoming independent from Portugal in November 1975. The war was a power struggle between two anti-colonial guerrilla movements. On the one hand the…

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Conflict in Tigray
Confidential

Predictive Analysis of Conflict in Tigray, Ethiopia

Key Judgements KJ-1. Armed conflict will highly likely continue and de-centralise in the following 6 weeks. Ethnic-driven civilian militias and the large unregistered amount of firearms make it highly likely that armed confrontations involving Tigrayan ethnicities will occur. KJ-2. Conflict…

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Confidential

West Saharan Conflict a Predictive Analysis

The November 2020 resurgence of the West Saharan conflict is a symptom of a decades-long land dispute between Morocco and the Polisario Front. Key Judgements KJ-1. It is likely military operations will remain along the southern border, with Morocco in…

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Confidential

Terrorism Outlook: United States

Since the September 11th attack, the United States has taken significant measures at a federal level in order to improve the terrorism outlook in the United States. The Uniting and Strengthening America by Providing Appropriate Tools Required to Intercept and Obstruct…

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Confidential

Terrorism Outlook: Europe

Background The Madrid and London attacks in 2004 and 2005 respectively presented a novel threat within the European community. Attacks between 2010-2020 switched and largely targeted countries like France, Germany and the United Kingdom. Right-wing attacks and arrests like the…

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Confidential

The Cameroon Crisis and Nigeria’s Response

This report seeks to examine the ongoing Cameroon crisis and inform the reader about the latest developments in the troubled regions, as well as the governmental and regional responses. For collection and processing, the author used OSINT, therefore the report…

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Confidential

Tigray Conflict: Potential Ethiopian Civil War

Ethiopian military official said the air force was “pounding targets with precision” in Tigray. Tensions between the Ethiopian and local government in the province have simmered for months, and the conflict risks becoming a full-blown Ethiopian civil war. Here is…

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Confidential

Russian Intervention Central African Republic

This Grey Dynamics intelligence report will utilize OSINT in order to provide diagnostical and predictive analysis on Russian intervention in the CAR, with a focus on the geopolitical, military, and economic spheres.    Key Judgements KJ-1. It is highly likely…

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