Wagner: Russia’s ‘Non-State State Actor’ Part III

  Another war-torn mineral-rich state ripe for Russian arms, investment, and cooperation were the Central African Republic (CAR) in late 2017. In 2016, France formally ended its military mission in the CAR, leaving the responsibility of the security situation on…

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Better the Devil You Know Than the Devil You Don’t

    Omar al-Bashir has been in power in Sudan since the self-arranged coup d’etat in 1989. Since then he has been re-elected four times, latest in 2015. The results prompted allegations of both corruption and fraud. In 2009, Bashir…

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Confidential

Wagner: Russia’s ‘Non-State State Actor’ Part II

By mid-2017, two Russian companies had received contracts in Syria offering security services in return for natural resources. Evro Polis, as mentioned in Part 1, was to receive 25% of natural gas and oil produced from fields in which they…

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Confidential

Sanctions and a Military Coup in Venezuela?

Venezuela in turmoil The confrontation on multiple fronts is ramping up in Venezuela with a peaceful solution more in doubt. There was an indication last week from National Security Advisor John Bolton that the US was considering support for sanctions…

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Confidential

The Re-emergence of the ELN

Colombia was rocked on January 21 by a car bomb explosion, killing 21 police officers and the attacker, and injuring 68 others. The future of peace and security in Columbia is now unclear as the country and the international community…

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Confidential

Wagner in Africa: Russia’s Non-State State Actor’ Part I

This is the first of a series of articles concerning the Russian security company, Wagner in Africa. In 2013, an advertisement for security jobs started appearing on Russian websites with a military content. The advertisement promised $5,000 a month for…

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Confidential

Egypt and Israel’s Dirty Little Secret

Just days into 2019 it was reported that Egyptian President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi had been subject to an interview by the CBS television show 60 Minutes, an interview Egypt’s envoy to the US requested not to be broadcast shortly after…

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Ignorance is Bliss

  On the 28th February 2018, two weeks after the Stoneman Douglas High School Shooting, Donald Trump attempted to reignite the argument that common multimedia platforms are in-part responsible for causing violent behaviour. During the inevitable discussions on gun control,…

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Confidential

The Geopolitical Ramifications of Damming the Nile

Intro: Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam Currently, the talks between Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt failed to reach a consensus on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). These technical reports are necessary to complete the agreement between the three states on the…

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Confidential

Libyan Political Deadlock

So What? Libya is currently spiralling downwards leaving Africa’s largest crude oil reserve to take a major hit. After years of unreliable oil production since the revolution in 2011 and Gaddafi’s fall, Libya’s oil industry is unlikely to be rebuilt…

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